Corresponding author Dr. “We see that the number of outbreaks and deaths collectively caused by this subset of pathogens (SARS Coronavirus 1, Filoviruses, Machupo virus, and Nipah virus) increased exponentially from 1963 to 2019,” said Amanda Jean Meadows. From Ginkgo. Ebola and MARS belong to the filovirus family.
Machupo virus causes Bolivian Hemorrhagic Fever Virus.
“If the trend observed in this study continues, we expect these pathogens to cause four times more spillover events and 12 times more deaths in 2050 compared to 2020,” Meadows added.
The study identified a total of 75 spillover events that occurred in 24 countries from 1963 to 2019, causing a total of 17,232 deaths from 1963 to 2019. They argue that this series of effective spread-based epidemics are not random anomalies but follow a sequence. It’s a decades-long trend in which outbreaks are becoming both larger and more frequent.
The team’s analysis, which excludes the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, shows that the number of spillover events and reported deaths increased by 4.98 percent and 8.7 percent per year, respectively.
This trend can be changed by joint global efforts to improve our capacity to prevent and control epidemics. Such efforts are needed to address this major and growing risk to global health, Meadows said in his article.
news source (www.nationalheraldindia.com)
